Nothing! It would cost the US government nothing. In fact, just the opposite.
The legislation would reduce expenditures and raise revenues for the government. There wouldn't even be any defense-related costs.
Lunar land claims legislation would direct the US government to promise, in advance, to recognize as legal and legitimate a claim by a privately funded permanent Lunar settlement to land around its base on the Moon - and to allow the settlement to sell deeds to some of that recognized land claim to American citizens back on Earth. That would cost the government NOTHING but would create the economic incentive for private, for-profit venture capitalists to pay the huge up-front costs required for space development, thereby saving NASA and the government a great deal of money.
Consider the alternative: If a permanent Lunar settlement were established without this legislation, and made such a claim, it would have a very good case for recognition - but the settlement would have to fight for recognition through the courts. Passing Lunar land claims legislation in advance of any settlement attempt would save them that huge waste of time and expense, and save the government the expense of lengthy and complicated trials going up through the Federal courts.
Once this legislation has become law, the teams of entrepreneurs racing to establish the first Lunar settlements will each need to spend a lot of their own money buying everything from rocket ships and habitats to training facilities and food. The suppliers developing and selling them that space transportation and infrastructure would have to hire lots and lots of workers, generating economic growth and, of course, tax revenues.
Once a settlement is established and starts to sell Lunar land deeds, it will generate jobs and sales for tax-paying real estate brokers. If the settlement makes a substantial profit, as we expect, US investors would pay taxes on their dividends. And when land deed buyers re-sell their deeds for a profit, they will pay capital gains taxes to the government.
As discussed in FAQ #22: What About Defense?, the US would NOT even have to provide military defense of the Lunar settlement, so there would be no need for expenses of that sort.
Note: The first 25 FAQs below are reprinted from the Space Settlement Initiative website.
What is the real purpose of enacting a Lunar land claims recognition law?
What does international law say about private property ownership in space?
Can there be property ownership without national sovereignty?
What if other nations refuse to recognize land claims in space?
Why not allow smaller, limited land claims for easier steps than settlement?
Could lunar land really be worth enough money to make a difference?
What conditions should the US set for recognition of a claim?
How much land should a settlement be able to claim... and why?
Are the weaknesses and compromises in this plan likely to be permanent?
Could other sources of revenue be enough without land claims recognition?
What effect would this have on NASA and the aerospace companies?
The FAQs above cover basic questions about Lunar Land Claims Recognition. The following questions address more advanced issues.
If we really went to the Moon in 1969, why aren't we there now?
What were the assumptions before the Outer Space Treaty, (e.g. Robert Heinlein)?
Will changing how NASA works bring the taxpayers back on board?
Could this law force the US to recognize a foreign government's Lunar land claim?
Would Article VI of the Outer Space Treaty prohibit Lunar land claims recognition?
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